Many governors have been issuing statements about the recovery process, and the President has issued “guidelines.” Most of those commenting on the issue have noted that testing is the key to the recovery process and that current levels of testing are inadequate. Part of the problem is a dependence on “the market” to respond to the demand for testing materials. The demand is clear and specific. The problem lies with supply, and the fact that no one is really in charge of the production and delivery of test material. The designation of Jared Kushner, the President’s son-in-law, to deal with industry is not producing results.
Two things stand out. First, this is a logistical problem for which a trained, experienced logistician needs to be responsible. Many such individuals are available in the public and private sector, but they will not be found in the real estate sector. Second, if the efforts of such an expert were strengthened by a declaration of authority under the Defense Production Act, the process could achieve results much more rapidly.
Despite assurances from some political figures that “not everyone needs to be tested,” universal testing is a necessary precondition to the recovery process. Since the virus can be transmitted by asymptomatic people as well as those who are noticeably ill, universal testing is the only way to identify the scope of the problem. Without understanding the scope of the problem, officials will be unable to make an informed decision as to whether or not they have it under control.
A second form of testing also requires management and encouragement. By testing people in order to find those who have a natural immunity to this virus, the scientific community will gain additional data that may be very helpful in developing treatments and vaccines. Although I am not trained as a physical scientist, my training did teach me that more data is always better.
I have confidence that the scientific community is doing its best to identify effective treatments and vaccines. The former is necessary on humanitarian grounds, and the latter is vital for our economic recovery. I can only hope that the Federal Government is helping the process through increased funding and the provision of an effective central, electronic site through which scientists can coordinate their findings. While both are probably taking place, current reporting in the media leaves the public unsure. On the international level, the WHO has served as an important channel for sharing information. Obviously, the sources of that information are not always reliable. However, this does not mean that good data shared through WHO should be ignored or that funding to support the effort should be cut. We always should question the reliability of our sources of information. Some sources should always be viewed as questionable, e.g., Chinese official pronouncements. Telling WHO and our President that they should be very careful about accepting Chinese statements at face value is appropriate. After all, our intelligence community has been reported to have issued just such a warning early in the process. Attempting to kill a messenger who carried an erroneous message makes no sense, particularly if that messenger is one of a very few sources of the information we seek.
We may not achieve a full recovery in the sense of returning to the state of the economy and of the health care system in November 2019. In some ways, we certainly should not. We must learn something from this experience. Obviously, the United States failed to learn lessons from earlier viral pandemics. Sufficient supplies of useable personal protective equipment must be maintained regionally and nationally. Treatment supplies and equipment must also be stockpiled and maintained on a regional and national basis. Administrative procedures must be established in which clear roles and responsibilities are assigned. This would include a coordinated, national research effort into epidemics, and a clear responsibility for guaranteeing that the results of that research inform such activities as replenishing and replacing stockpiled materials as well as treatment and vaccination. This will be expensive, and every American will bear some share of the cost. The alternative is not acceptable.